Friday 25 March 2016

HOW TO PREDICT OVER AND UNDER GOALS IN A FOOTBALL MATCH

HOW TO WIN BETS WITH OVER /UNDER GOALS.

Knowledge is knowing WHAT to do. Wisdom is knowing WHEN to do it.
You may ask what does the above statement has to do with betting, but thinking deeper you will realize that betting revolves around the TRUTH in that sentence.

A single match can have more than 150 options, but our single or double choice of prediction can deprive us our stake and winnings.

In this post, I want to share with you my knowledge about betting on OVER AND UNDER GOALS.

This method of prediction is the largest and most important as far as betting is concerned. It is broadly divided into two opposite categories - THE OVER GOALS AND THE UNDER GOALS.

OVER GOALS
When a match is predicted as over, it means that goals will be MORE than the DIGIT written before the DECIMAL NUMBER For example
Over 0.5= more than zero goals(1 goal upwards)
Over 1.5 = more than one goal (2 goals upwards)
Over 2.5 = more than two goals (3 goals upwards)
Over 3.5 = more than 3 goals (4 goals upwards)
Over 4.5 = more than 4 goals (5 goals upwards)
Over 5.5 = more than 5 goals (6 goals upwards)
Over 6.5 = more than 6 goals (7 goals upwards)
Over 7.5 = more than 7 goals (8 goals upwards).

In most matches, you may not see the "over 6.5" and "over 7.5", but you can see an option written as-" 6+ goals ". It is replaceable with the over 6.5 and over 7.5.
The most popular of all OVER GOALS is the OVER 2.5. Its popularity is because it has a better odd.
Another reason is a practical logic and psychology. In any football match, the both teams struggle to score a goal even if they will not win the match. This means that for any of the teams to win if both sides scores, the match is likely to end as - 2:1; 3:1; 3:2 ; 4:2; 4:3 and vice versa.
In some cases, only one team scores the over 2.5 goals.
The over goals options are available in FIRST HALF, SECOND HALF AND FULL TIME.

If you are a constant reader of my blog post, you will remember that I have said many times that 'BIGGER ODDS ARE GIVEN TO BIGGER RISKS’.

In over goals, the higher your number of goals, the higher your odds.
The odds for over goals in FIRST half is always greater than that of SECOND half and FULL time. Can you guess the reasons?

Below is the over 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 of a particular match at the time of writing this post.
OVER 0.5:
First Half ========= 1.55
Second Half ======= 1.35
Full Time =========1.08
---------------------------------------------------
OVER 1.5
First Half ========== 2.45
Second Half ========1.80
Full Time ===========1.35
---------------------------------------------------
OVER 2.5
First Half ===========4.55
Second Half =========3.15
Full Time ============1.85
---------------------------------------------------

Many bookmakers don't have options for OVER 3.5 IN FIRST HALF AND SECOND HALF. The reason maybe best known to them.

OVER GOALS FOR A PARTICULAR TEAM
Many stakers don't know that football betting becomes easier to win when you have a good knowledge of the many options available for any match you intend to place your bet.

The over goals option is available for a particular team also. If for example, there is a match between :
----------------------------
Juventus  VS  Napoli
----------------------------

You can decide to say that Napoli will score OVER 0.5, 1.5 or 2.5 in FIRST half, Second half or Full time.

If your bookie ,(Bet Company) don't have over 0.5 for a particular team in FULL TIME, Then there is another option that can replace it. It is called "CLEAN SHEET". You are expected to answer "YES" or "NO" under clean sheet to make your option clearer.
IN THE MATCH ABOVE:

Juventus 'clean sheet' (yes) means that Juventus will win WITHOUT Napoli scoring any goal.

That also means that Napoli goals = under 0.5.
Juventus 'clean sheet' (no) means that whether Juventus wins or not, Napoli MUST score in the match.
This also means that Napoli goals = over 0.5.

NB: If you want to bet on Juventus over 0.5, use Napoli to answer the "clean sheet" questions.

WARNING
DO NOT TAKE "WIN TO NIL" QUESTIONS TO MEAN "CLEAN SHEET"
Although, this post is becoming longer than expected, it is better that you understand the difference between the above mentioned options.

Using the above match as example:
Juventus "win to nil" (yes) is equivalent to "Juventus clean sheet (yes)" BUT Juventus "win to nil" (no) is NOT equivalent to "Juventus clean sheet (no)"
Juventus "win to nil" (no) will be WON if the match result is 0:0 (FT).
On the other hand, Juventus "clean sheet" (no) will be LOST if the match result is 0:0

UNDER GOALS
The under goals is the direct opposite of the over goals.
When a match is predicted as under, it means that goals will NOT be more than the DIGIT before the decimal number.
For example,
Under 0.5 = 0 goals downwards
Under 1.5 = 1 goals downwards
Under 2.5 = 2 goals downwards
Under 3.5 = 3 goals downwards
Under 4.5 = 4 goals downwards
Under 5.5 = 5 goals downwards
Under 6.5 = 6 goals downwards
Under 7.5 = 7 goals downwards

Like the over goals, these options are available in first half, second half and full time.
The options are also available for a particular team predictions.

2 Keys to winning with over / under goals:
(1). Type of League
Taking into consideration the choice of league can boast your winnings.
When playing over goals, it's advisable that you select leagues known for their high goals ratings. Eg - Czech, Australia, Germany, Austria, Belgium, Netherlands (Holland), Armenia, UAE, Venezuela, Chile, Malaysia, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Denmark,New Zealand, Switzerland, etc.
When playing under goals , you can select from leagues known for their average goals ratings . E.g. - France, Spain, Italy, Argentina, Brazil, African leagues, Portugal, Greece, Turkey, etc.

(2). Odds by the bookies.
Sometimes, glancing through the odds given by the bookmakers can give you a glimpse of the outcome of a match. Although, the outcome of 30% of matches defiles this tipster’s favorite, 70% of the outcome of matches plays according to odds.
If the odd for over 2.5 and under 2.5 in our Juventus and Napoli match is 2.20 and 1.85 respectively.
This is an indication that the match is LIKELY to end as Under 2.5 goals with the 1.85 fixed odds.

SUMMARY:
Football betting has to do with predicting the future using past and present history.
Apply what you have read, your personal wisdom and constant winning will be yours.
=========================


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